From: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com (canslim-digest) To: canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Subject: canslim-digest V2 #1339 Reply-To: canslim Sender: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Errors-To: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Precedence: bulk Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable X-No-Archive: yes canslim-digest Friday, May 4 2001 Volume 02 : Number 1339 In this issue: Re: [CANSLIM] EPIQ Re: [CANSLIM] EPIQ Re: [CANSLIM] EPIQ [CANSLIM] Feel the power Re: [CANSLIM] Feel the power [CANSLIM] Next FOMC Meeting Re: [CANSLIM] ACF ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 03 May 2001 23:44:50 -0700 From: Dan Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] EPIQ This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - --------------0FF61656C4FB0543146195EF Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Tom,

Attached is an one minute chart for the last part of the trading day showing the volume bar.

MACD and Histogram turned back up as did stoch, roc.  OBV is range bound since the 24th.  I don't see much of a reason to bail.  I probably would have a stop about 21.25.

Tom Worley wrote:

If anyone picks up any rumors or information to account for EPIQ's spike today, I would appreciate hearing about it. I saw it down about half a buck in the morning, then recovering to a buck plus later in the day. But didn't realize until late this evening this puppy spiked on volume in the last half hour. From what I have researched so far, looks like a block buy may have gone thru around 3:30 PM, taking out all the offers. Some further volume followed after that, including a further new high in the aftermarket on a small trade of 300 shares. But I find no news to account for a 15% spike in price on slightly more than ADV, on a down day for Naz. Any info or opinions welcomed, but I'm really looking for an excuse to sell that I can live with, I really want to make the right (smart) decisions on my remaining holding. I wish the other stocks I own, and want to sell, would be so well motivated! Tom Worley
stkguru@netside.net  
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Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 May 2001 06:28:00 -0400 From: "Tom Worley" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] EPIQ If nothing else, Bill, you refreshed my memory on where I got my method of setting price target by using 2X the 200 DMA. Not sure where I got the 1.5X the 50 DMA. Tom Worley stkguru@netside.net - ----- Original Message ----- From: Bill Triffet To: Sent: Friday, May 04, 2001 12:19 AM Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] EPIQ Reasons to sell? Well if one digs deep enough one could use HTMMIS selling rule #29, "In a few cases you should sell if a stock hits its upper channel line...Stocks surging above their upper channel lines should normally be sold". Or #34, "Some stocks can be sold when they are 70% to 100% above their 200-day moving average price line". Not sure if it really violates #29 though. I wish I had such a tough decision. (g) Any way you look at it Tom, you've had a nice ride so far. - -Bill Triffet - ----- Original Message ----- From: "Tom Worley" To: "CANSLIM" Sent: Thursday, May 03, 2001 6:14 PM Subject: [CANSLIM] EPIQ If anyone picks up any rumors or information to account for EPIQ's spike today, I would appreciate hearing about it. I saw it down about half a buck in the morning, then recovering to a buck plus later in the day. But didn't realize until late this evening this puppy spiked on volume in the last half hour. From what I have researched so far, looks like a block buy may have gone thru around 3:30 PM, taking out all the offers. Some further volume followed after that, including a further new high in the aftermarket on a small trade of 300 shares. But I find no news to account for a 15% spike in price on slightly more than ADV, on a down day for Naz. Any info or opinions welcomed, but I'm really looking for an excuse to sell that I can live with, I really want to make the right (smart) decisions on my remaining holding. I wish the other stocks I own, and want to sell, would be so well motivated! Tom Worley stkguru@netside.net - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 May 2001 07:09:00 -0400 From: "Tom Worley" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] EPIQ This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_0066_01C0D469.191A9140 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Thanks, Dan and Kent, for the charts. Looking at Dan's one minute chart = confirms what I had gotten from BigCharts, at least in my opinion. Looks = to me like a block buy went thru about 1540 (3:40) of 16,000 shares. = That's a lot on this stock where a typical trade is only a few hundred. = After that, in the next ten minutes, another six trades went thru = averaging around 5,000 shares. Looks to me like a fund or institutional = took a position, right at the close, which is often when they like to = act. Maybe the block triggered some buy stop orders. As for why I want to sell, it's partially because the price appreciation = now has this stock occupying too large a percentage of the acct. I = believe in diversification. I am also mentally trying to fight the greed = syndrome. I don't want to let greed and the success with this one blind = me to obvious sell signals. I sold half once I was up 100% once I saw weakness, guess I will follow = the same logic and sell another quarter, now that I am up 4X, on any = sign of weakness. Using my usual rules of 2X the 200DMA and 1.5X the 50DMA, I get 26.80 = and 30. I already had a limit sell above 29, which apparently kept me = from entering a sell stop order at Schwab. Since I can no longer safely = or logically guess at a high side target, I think I will cancel the sell = order and enter a hard stop for a qtr position sell at 23.80 as I will = not be able to watch it this morning. Tom Worley stkguru@netside.net ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Dan=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Friday, May 04, 2001 2:44 AM Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] EPIQ Tom,=20 Attached is an one minute chart for the last part of the trading day = showing the volume bar.=20 MACD and Histogram turned back up as did stoch, roc. OBV is range = bound since the 24th. I don't see much of a reason to bail. I probably = would have a stop about 21.25.=20 Tom Worley wrote:=20 If anyone picks up any rumors or information to account for EPIQ's = spike today, I would appreciate hearing about it. I saw it down about = half a buck in the morning, then recovering to a buck plus later in the = day. But didn't realize until late this evening this puppy spiked on = volume in the last half hour. From what I have researched so far, looks = like a block buy may have gone thru around 3:30 PM, taking out all the = offers. Some further volume followed after that, including a further new = high in the aftermarket on a small trade of 300 shares. But I find no = news to account for a 15% spike in price on slightly more than ADV, on a = down day for Naz. Any info or opinions welcomed, but I'm really looking = for an excuse to sell that I can live with, I really want to make the = right (smart) decisions on my remaining holding. I wish the other stocks = I own, and want to sell, would be so well motivated! Tom Worley=20 stkguru@netside.net =20 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - ----- - ------=_NextPart_000_0066_01C0D469.191A9140 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Thanks, Dan and Kent, for the charts. Looking at = Dan's one=20 minute chart confirms what I had gotten from BigCharts, at least in my = opinion.=20 Looks to me like a block buy went thru about 1540 (3:40) of 16,000 = shares.=20 That's a lot on this stock where a typical trade is only a few hundred. = After=20 that, in the next ten minutes, another six trades went thru averaging = around=20 5,000 shares. Looks to me like a fund or institutional took a position, = right at=20 the close, which is often when they like to act. Maybe the block = triggered some=20 buy stop orders.
 
As for why I want to sell, it's partially because = the price=20 appreciation now has this stock occupying too large a percentage of the = acct. I=20 believe in diversification. I am also mentally trying to fight the greed = syndrome. I don't want to let greed and the success with this one blind = me to=20 obvious sell signals.
 
I sold half once I was up 100% once I saw weakness, = guess I=20 will follow the same logic and sell another quarter, now that I am up = 4X, on any=20 sign of weakness.
 
Using my usual rules of 2X the 200DMA and 1.5X the = 50DMA, I=20 get 26.80 and 30. I already had a limit sell above 29, which apparently = kept me=20 from entering a sell stop order at Schwab. Since I can no longer safely = or=20 logically guess at a high side target, I think I will cancel the sell = order and=20 enter a hard stop for a qtr position sell at 23.80 as I will not be able = to=20 watch it this morning.
 
Tom Worley
stkguru@netside.net
 
 
----- Original Message -----
From:=20 Dan
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com =
Sent: Friday, May 04, 2001 2:44 = AM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] = EPIQ

Tom,=20

Attached is an one minute chart for the last part of the trading = day=20 showing the volume bar.=20

MACD and Histogram turned back up as did stoch, roc.  OBV is = range=20 bound since the 24th.  I don't see much of a reason to = bail.  I=20 probably would have a stop about 21.25.=20

Tom Worley wrote:=20

If anyone picks up any rumors or information to = account for=20 EPIQ's spike today, I would appreciate hearing about it. I saw it = down about=20 half a buck in the morning, then recovering to a buck plus later in = the day.=20 But didn't realize until late this evening this puppy spiked on = volume in=20 the last half hour. From what I have researched so far, looks like a = block=20 buy may have gone thru around 3:30 PM, taking out all the offers. = Some=20 further volume followed after that, including a further new high in = the=20 aftermarket on a small trade of 300 shares. But I=20 find no news to account for a 15% spike in price on slightly more = than ADV,=20 on a down day for Naz. Any info or = opinions=20 welcomed, but I'm really looking for an excuse to sell that I can = live with,=20 I really want to make the right (smart) decisions on my remaining = holding. I=20 wish the other stocks I own, and want to sell, would be so well=20 motivated! Tom Worley
stkguru@netside.net &= nbsp;

- ------=_NextPart_000_0066_01C0D469.191A9140-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 May 2001 05:26:54 -0700 From: "Tracie Oken" Subject: [CANSLIM] Feel the power This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_0087_01C0D45A.D49BCF60 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable My husband feels much better now after reading this board. He used to = think that he was the only one who had power to move a stock (since a = stock would go down right after he bought or go up right after he sold). = He is glad to see that others have the same power. Also, for us new members to the board, could someone please tell us what = HTF and OBV stand for. Thanks. - ------=_NextPart_000_0087_01C0D45A.D49BCF60 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
My husband feels much better now after = reading this=20 board. He used to think that he was the only one who had power to move a = stock=20 (since a stock would go down right after he bought or go up right = after he=20 sold). He is glad to see that others have the same power.
 
Also, for us new members to the board, = could=20 someone please tell us what HTF and OBV stand for.
 
Thanks.
- ------=_NextPart_000_0087_01C0D45A.D49BCF60-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 May 2001 08:40:08 -0400 From: "Tom Worley" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Feel the power This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_0013_01C0D475.D32BD060 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Hi Tracie, One of the really great things about investing is discovering the = massive power, with just our few shares bot or sold, to move a stock = price in the face of hundreds of thousands of shares, or even millions = of shares. I bet the institutions envy us! HTF stands for High Tight Flag, a chart formation. I am not expert on = it, so rather than confuse you and other members, I will let one of the = experts jump in and explain it and how to recognize it. OBV stands for On Balance Volume, a technical analysis (TA) indicator. = It's not CANSLIM, but used by some members. Again, I am not expert so = won't try to explain it or how to use it. Tom Worley stkguru@netside.net ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Tracie Oken=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Friday, May 04, 2001 8:26 AM Subject: [CANSLIM] Feel the power My husband feels much better now after reading this board. He used to = think that he was the only one who had power to move a stock (since a = stock would go down right after he bought or go up right after he sold). = He is glad to see that others have the same power. =20 Also, for us new members to the board, could someone please tell us = what HTF and OBV stand for. =20 Thanks. - ------=_NextPart_000_0013_01C0D475.D32BD060 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Hi Tracie,
 
One of the really great things about investing is = discovering=20 the massive power, with just our few shares bot or sold, to move a stock = price=20 in the face of hundreds of thousands of shares, or even millions of = shares. I=20 bet the institutions envy us!
 
HTF stands for High Tight Flag, a chart formation. I = am not=20 expert on it, so rather than confuse you and other members, I will let = one of=20 the experts jump in and explain it and how to recognize it.
 
OBV stands for On Balance Volume, a technical = analysis (TA)=20 indicator. It's not CANSLIM, but used by some members. Again, I am not = expert so=20 won't try to explain it or how to use it.
 
Tom Worley
stkguru@netside.net
 
 
----- Original Message -----
From:=20 Tracie = Oken=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com =
Sent: Friday, May 04, 2001 8:26 = AM
Subject: [CANSLIM] Feel the = power

My husband feels much better now = after reading=20 this board. He used to think that he was the only one who had power to = move a=20 stock (since a stock would go down right after he bought or go up = right=20 after he sold). He is glad to see that others have the same=20 power.
 
Also, for us new members to the = board, could=20 someone please tell us what HTF and OBV stand for.
 
Thanks.
- ------=_NextPart_000_0013_01C0D475.D32BD060-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 May 2001 08:56:54 -0400 From: "Tom Worley" Subject: [CANSLIM] Next FOMC Meeting This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_001E_01C0D478.2B63D1E0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable When the Federal Open Market Committee meets May 15, I expect them to = agree to at least a 25 BP (Basis Point) cut in rates. I think with this = morning's Employment Report, the door is still open to 50 BP, but I = believe that is unlikely. The Feds are forward looking, out 8-12 = months. The 2% they have already cut is stimulating the economy, and not = much more is needed or wise or healthy if we are to avoid an = inflationary cycle. Inventories have been substantially reduced, = productivity may take a hit partially because of all the layoffs (but = the Feds will tolerate that short term), inflation is not yet a problem = even with high energy prices, durable goods orders and orders to = manufacturers is picking up altho still in a contraction level. Home = construction and auto manufacturing is still strong. Consumer spending, = as witnessed by the 2% growth of GDP recently reported, remains stronger = than expected. The Employment Report (overall increased from 4.3 to 4.5%, higher than = expected, and jobs CUTS of 223,000 when an increase of 25,000, itself = lackluster, was anticipated) is having a shock effect. Futures already = dropped from a 1% gain to a 1.5% loss for the opening. Haven't looked at Europe yet, but would expect markets there to be = heading south by now. Should be good for EPIQ at least, with sales of their software for = bankruptcy trustees. Schwab accepted my stop 23.80 limit 23.50 order = once I cancelled my sell limit order at 29.20. Just wish I had more = experience with that kind of dilemma. Tom Worley stkguru@netside.net - ------=_NextPart_000_001E_01C0D478.2B63D1E0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
When the Federal Open Market Committee meets May 15, = I expect=20 them to agree to at least a 25 BP (Basis Point) cut in rates. I think = with this=20 morning's Employment Report, the door is still open to 50 BP, but I = believe that=20 is unlikely.  The Feds are forward looking, out 8-12 months. The 2% = they=20 have already cut is stimulating the economy, and not much more is needed = or wise=20 or healthy if we are to avoid an inflationary cycle. Inventories have = been=20 substantially reduced, productivity may take a hit partially because of = all the=20 layoffs (but the Feds will tolerate that short term), inflation is not = yet a=20 problem even with high energy prices, durable goods orders and orders to = manufacturers is picking up altho still in a contraction level. Home=20 construction and auto manufacturing is still strong. Consumer spending, = as=20 witnessed by the 2% growth of GDP recently reported, remains stronger = than=20 expected.
 
The Employment Report (overall increased from 4.3 to = 4.5%,=20 higher than expected, and jobs CUTS of 223,000 when an increase of = 25,000,=20 itself lackluster, was anticipated) is having a shock effect. Futures = already=20 dropped from a 1% gain to a 1.5% loss for the opening.
 
Haven't looked at Europe yet, but would expect = markets there=20 to be heading south by now.
 
Should be good for EPIQ at least, with sales of = their software=20 for bankruptcy trustees. Schwab accepted my stop 23.80 limit 23.50 order = once I=20 cancelled my sell limit order at 29.20. Just wish I had more experience = with=20 that kind of dilemma.
 
Tom Worley
stkguru@netside.net
 
 
- ------=_NextPart_000_001E_01C0D478.2B63D1E0-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: 4 May 2001 06:37:19 -0700 From: "Tim Fisher" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] ACF Not in my book. An HTF occurs at the new high, or very close to it. There is no runup necessary. Look at the chart of ALLY for an example of an HTF that formed the 3rd week of March. It was a point or so below the high, and formed at the end of a month long base. IMO ACF formed a shallow saucer w/ no handle, broke out, and is now in another basing period. This week it is forming an HTF in that base. Looks a lot like ALLY, doesn't it? These can break either way Earl, they are not possible to predict, (but then again what is?) Another breakout here would be the 2nd stage b/o from the base, as such I wouldn't buy it but I certainly see no reason to get nervous. At 11:11 PM 5/3/2001 -0600, you wrote: >IMHO ACF is not in a HTF setup. It's my understanding that that is >ascribed to runups of 100% or more in a very short time; like two or three >weeks. I'm assuming that the definition of HTF uses a starting point of >the pivot point of the initial breakout, which in this case I'm assuming >is 37 or so. But if ACF could settle at 45 for another three weeks or so >I think that would be a good base for further price appreciation. It's >about 30% above 50dma and 50% above 200dma. Doesn't seem it can go much >further without some consolidation. It has excellent numbers and ratings. > > >At 10:05 PM 5/3/01 -0600, you wrote: >>I was looking at ACF tonight (one of my holdings), and it looks like it is >>forming a flag, possibly HTF. I'm not very experienced in this formation, >>comments and suggestions? >> >>- >>-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" >>-In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or >>-"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. > > >- >-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" >-In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or >-"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. Tim Fisher Ore-ROCK-On Rockhounding Web Site Pacific Fishery Biologists Information mailto:tim@OreRockOn.com WWW http://OreRockOn.com - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ End of canslim-digest V2 #1339 ****************************** To unsubscribe to canslim-digest, send an email to "majordomo@xmission.com" with "unsubscribe canslim-digest" in the body of the message. For information on digests or retrieving files and old messages send "help" to the same address. Do not use quotes in your message.