From: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com (canslim-digest) To: canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Subject: canslim-digest V2 #3182 Reply-To: canslim Sender: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Errors-To: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Precedence: bulk Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable X-No-Archive: yes canslim-digest Saturday, February 22 2003 Volume 02 : Number 3182 In this issue: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview Re: [CANSLIM] Foreign Markets CANSLIM? Re: [CANSLIM] Investors Business Daily Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 20:14:31 -0500 From: "Tom Worley" Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_01C4_01C2DAAF.0228B770 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_001_01C5_01C2DAAF.0228B770" - ------=_NextPart_001_01C5_01C2DAAF.0228B770 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable ECONOMICS New York's Fed gave the first warning of a gloomy economic week with the = report that manufacturing in February plunged from 20.7 to 1.1, lowest = in 4 months. In retrospect, they also gave early warning of the jump in = PPI to be reported later in the week, noting prices paid index jumped to = 19.2 from 7.3, highest since July '01. And prices received remained = benign, just as did the CPI, slipping to -14.4 from -15.6. New orders = index dropped from 18.7 to 12.3. PPI shocked the markets by rising 1.6% in January, even the core, after = stripping out energy and food, shot up 0.9%. Needless to say, both were = way over expectations of 0.5% and 0.1%. Meanwhile, the CPI reassured = investors with tame numbers, up 0.3%, still the highest in nine months = primarily because of rocketing energy prices (up another 4%). The core = CPI was up only 0.1%. Both were in line with expectations. Housing starts in January rose 0.2% to their highest in over 16 years. = Permits fell 5.6% due to a drop in multifamily housing, while permits = for single family housing rose 0.3% to set a new record high. Another discouraging sign was new jobless claims, rising 21,000 to 402K = and considerably worse than the 385K expected. The 4 week moving average = also rose 4,750 to 394,750. Given the snow conditions in the Northeast, = and the 4 day week, good chance these numbers are under reported. = Continuing claims also jumped another 150K as companies continue to lay = off workers rather than hiring new ones. US Trade Deficit hit a new record in December at $44.2 billion on the = back of a weak dollar. Want to bet that January breaks that record? Next week: on tap are both existing and new home sales, both expected to = decline slightly. Also, Durable goods orders, expected to rise 1.%, = watch out if the figure is measurably short. Consumer confidence is = expected to have continued its decline, and the preliminary GDP for Q4 = is expected to be raised from 0.7% to 1.3%, another one to watch out for = if it fails to measure up. - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - ------- "M" Uncertainty of war with Iraq (or when it will start, how long it will = take, how much damage in human and oil field terms) continue to hang = over the market. Economic concerns both globally and here in the US of A = continue to signal caution. Proposed tax cuts, with attendant record = govt deficits, worry global economic leaders. Meanwhile, most indexes = closed out a second week of gains, but after four declining weeks (most = of far greater proportions), look mighty anemic and more willing to seek = new lower levels than to bust thru overhead resistance. Both NASDAQ and = NYSE moved back into mild overbought territory, and at or above short = term (20 dma) levels. Time will tell if they can sustain this, or take = the next leg down to test the October lows. The trend remains down, keep = your powder dry and preserve your capital. - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - ------- WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES=20 This list is in no way intended to recommend any stocks to the group. It = is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health of CANSLIM's = "M" and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some stocks with = constructive chart patterns that may be worth WATCHING and learning from = (and of course doing your own due diligence). I am employed in = Operations by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is = strictly my own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views = or opinions of my employer. I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS ranking of 80 or better, = and try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition / buyout = scenario. I look at all charts that meet this general RS/EPS criteria, = focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I consider all = industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my = personal investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings forecast = for this year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. I do no = due diligence, that is your responsibility. I will note any CANSLIM = patterns I see, such as c&h, double (or triple) bottoms, or flat bases = (shown as Bx where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also note LLUR = (Lower Left Upper Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM = pattern. Rarely are any of these stocks of interest to me for my = personal investing due size, price or industry group. I will note any = stocks in which I have a current personal financial interest, whether = real money or virtual reality (VR). The population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend is barely enough to = cover the shallow end of the pool. The sharks, in the deeper water, are = hungry and aggressive with any willing to venture out further. ANSI - c&h, long handle APA - young LLUR?? BWS - c&h, may be trying to break the pivot on volume ESI - decent c&h forming HLTH - high handle?, base forming? IDXC - c&h, in my VR Fund NSCN - LLUR, owned and in my VR Fund PCZ - LLUR PORT - LLUR PVR - c&h STHLY - high handle, low price VAR - high handle? YHOO (yeah, yahoo) - high handle Happy Hunting, Tom Worley stkguru@bellsouth.net AIM: TexWorley - ------=_NextPart_001_01C5_01C2DAAF.0228B770 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
ECONOMICS
New York's Fed gave the first warning of a = gloomy economic=20 week with the report that manufacturing in February plunged from = 20.7 to=20 1.1, lowest in 4 months. In retrospect, they also gave early warning of = the jump=20 in PPI to be reported later in the week, noting prices paid index jumped = to 19.2=20 from 7.3, highest since July '01. And prices received remained benign, = just as=20 did the CPI, slipping to -14.4 from -15.6. New orders index dropped from = 18.7 to=20 12.3.
 
PPI shocked the markets by rising 1.6% in = January, even=20 the core, after stripping out energy and food, shot up 0.9%. Needless to = say,=20 both were way over expectations of 0.5% and 0.1%. Meanwhile, the CPI = reassured=20 investors with tame numbers, up 0.3%, still the highest in nine months = primarily=20 because of rocketing energy prices (up another 4%). The core CPI was up = only=20 0.1%. Both were in line with expectations.
 
Housing starts in January rose 0.2% to their = highest in=20 over 16 years. Permits fell 5.6% due to a drop in multifamily housing, = while=20 permits for single family housing rose 0.3% to set a new record=20 high.
 
Another discouraging sign was new jobless = claims, rising=20 21,000 to 402K and considerably worse than the 385K expected. The 4 week = moving=20 average also rose 4,750 to 394,750. Given the snow conditions in the = Northeast,=20 and the 4 day week, good chance these numbers are under reported. = Continuing=20 claims also jumped another 150K as companies continue to lay off workers = rather=20 than hiring new ones.
 
US Trade Deficit hit a new record in December at = $44.2=20 billion on the back of a weak dollar. Want to bet that January breaks = that=20 record?
 
Next week: on tap are both existing and new home = sales,=20 both expected to decline slightly. Also, Durable goods orders, expected = to rise=20 1.%, watch out if the figure is measurably short. Consumer confidence is = expected to have continued its decline, and the preliminary GDP for Q4 = is=20 expected to be raised from 0.7% to 1.3%, another one to watch out for if = it=20 fails to measure up.
"M"
Uncertainty of war with Iraq (or when it will = start, how=20 long it will take, how much damage in human and oil field terms) = continue to=20 hang over the market. Economic concerns both globally and here in the US = of A=20 continue to signal caution. Proposed tax cuts, with attendant record = govt=20 deficits, worry global economic leaders. Meanwhile, most indexes closed = out a=20 second week of gains, but after four declining weeks (most of far = greater=20 proportions), look mighty anemic and more willing to seek new lower = levels than=20 to bust thru overhead resistance. Both NASDAQ and NYSE moved back into = mild=20 overbought territory, and at or above short term (20 dma) levels. Time = will tell=20 if they can sustain this, or take the next leg down to test the October = lows.=20 The trend remains down, keep your powder dry and preserve your = capital.
WORLEY'S WATCHLIST = WANNABES
This list is in no way intended to recommend any = stocks to=20 the group. It is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health = of=20 CANSLIM's "M" and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some = stocks=20 with constructive chart patterns that may be worth WATCHING and learning from (and of = course doing=20 your own due diligence). I am employed = in=20 Operations by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is = strictly=20 my own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views or = opinions of=20 my employer.
 
I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS = ranking of 80=20 or better, and try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition = /=20 buyout scenario. I look at all charts that meet = this general RS/EPS=20 criteria, focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I = consider all=20 industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my = personal=20 investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings = forecast=20 for this year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. I do no due diligence, that is your = responsibility. I will=20 note any CANSLIM patterns I see, such as c&h, double (or triple) = bottoms, or=20 flat bases (shown as Bx where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also = note LLUR=20 (Lower Left Upper Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM = pattern. Rarely=20 are any of these stocks of interest to me for my personal investing due = size,=20 price or industry group. I will note any stocks in which I have a = current=20 personal financial interest, whether real money or virtual reality=20 (VR).
 
The population of stocks I am reviewing this = weekend=20 is barely enough to cover the shallow end of the pool. The sharks, = in the=20 deeper water, are hungry and aggressive with any willing to venture out=20 further.
 
ANSI - c&h, long handle
APA - young LLUR??
BWS - c&h, may be trying to break the pivot on volume
ESI - decent c&h forming
HLTH - high handle?, base forming?
IDXC - c&h, in my VR Fund
NSCN - LLUR, owned and in my VR Fund
PCZ - LLUR
PORT - LLUR
PVR - c&h
STHLY - high handle, low price
VAR - high handle?
YHOO (yeah, yahoo) - high handle
 
Happy Hunting,
 
3D""
Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM: = TexWorley
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Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 21:24:49 EST From: Spencer48@aol.com Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Foreign Markets CANSLIM? Jonathan: A lot of CANSLIM is based on the concept of chart analysis (and chart analysis is based on psychology of buyers and sellers, ie. greed and fear). And that NEVER changes. For instance, historical charts are as worthwhile to study (for insight) as current charts. Additionally, some stock investors don't even look at what the company issuing the stock produces-they buy or sell on the chart. However, CANSLIM is not TOTALLY based on chart analysis. It is also based on fundamentals-and excellent fundamentals (such as earnings) are essential to the CANSLIM method. Because of this, I would be wary of foreign stocks for this reason: Those who don't live in the foreign country can never be as sure of what the govt. is doing to help or hinder the company. And, as you point out, foreign earnings might be illusory. For instance, in DGO (which uses CANSLIM to analyze stocks) earnings do not include extaordinary or one time occurrences. jans In a message dated 2/22/2003 2:09:14 PM Eastern Standard Time, jlobatto@nyc.rr.com writes: << As has been discussed here for a very long time, "M" stinks. However, there have been foreign markets (China and a few others) where "M" has actually been pretty decent the past year or so. I'm wondering if anyone has tried applying CANSLIM in a foreign market? >> - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 19:40:00 -0500 From: "Tom Worley" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Investors Business Daily This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_019A_01C2DAAA.2FEEF480 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Chris, I don't take the paper, but I do subscribe to DGO and use that = for much of my analysis of stocks and markets. I subscribe to about a = dozen different services ranging from govt style think tanks producing = reports on global matters to real time quotes and stock alerts. I also = use a number of free online sites for news. - ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Chris Jones=20 To: CANSLIM=20 Sent: Saturday, February 22, 2003 7:35 PM Subject: [CANSLIM] Investors Business Daily Hi -=20 I was just wondering how many of you use Investors Business Daily, and = how you feel it has helped your portfolio. Is it worth the cost? Or do = you prefer to get your information from other sources? What other = services do you subscribe to that have helped you in your investing? = Any comments appreciated! Chris - ------=_NextPart_000_019A_01C2DAAA.2FEEF480 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Chris, I don't take the paper, but I do = subscribe to DGO=20 and use that for much of my analysis of stocks and markets. I subscribe = to about=20 a dozen different services ranging from govt style think tanks producing = reports=20 on global matters to real time quotes and stock alerts. I also use a = number of=20 free online sites for news.
 
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Chris Jones=20
To: CANSLIM
Sent: Saturday, February 22, 2003 7:35 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] Investors Business Daily

Hi -
 
I was just wondering how many of you = use Investors=20 Business Daily, and how you feel it has helped your portfolio.  Is = it worth=20 the cost?  Or do you prefer to get your information from other=20 sources?  What other services do you subscribe to that have helped = you in=20 your investing?  Any comments appreciated!
 
Chris
- ------=_NextPart_000_019A_01C2DAAA.2FEEF480-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 19:26:55 -0800 From: Karen White Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview - --=====================_3382269==_.REL Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii"; format=flowed Thank you tom for the weekly weeview... two of the things I look forward to are the weeview and Katherines hunting list - a big help. Even if you werent in the business I would think giving all the info on your activities would be inappropriate because then you would be held to a standard that if you got busy and didnt tell someone your last move they would blame you... we need to be adult and just appreciate the wisdom and insight you folks help us with. Thanks,,, Karen At 08:14 PM 2/22/2003 -0500, you wrote: >ECONOMICS >New York's Fed gave the first warning of a gloomy economic week with the >report that manufacturing in February plunged from 20.7 to 1.1, lowest in >4 months. In retrospect, they also gave early warning of the jump in PPI >to be reported later in the week, noting prices paid index jumped to 19.2 >from 7.3, highest since July '01. And prices received remained benign, >just as did the CPI, slipping to -14.4 from -15.6. New orders index >dropped from 18.7 to 12.3. > >PPI shocked the markets by rising 1.6% in January, even the core, after >stripping out energy and food, shot up 0.9%. Needless to say, both were >way over expectations of 0.5% and 0.1%. Meanwhile, the CPI reassured >investors with tame numbers, up 0.3%, still the highest in nine months >primarily because of rocketing energy prices (up another 4%). The core CPI >was up only 0.1%. Both were in line with expectations. > >Housing starts in January rose 0.2% to their highest in over 16 years. >Permits fell 5.6% due to a drop in multifamily housing, while permits for >single family housing rose 0.3% to set a new record high. > >Another discouraging sign was new jobless claims, rising 21,000 to 402K >and considerably worse than the 385K expected. The 4 week moving average >also rose 4,750 to 394,750. Given the snow conditions in the Northeast, >and the 4 day week, good chance these numbers are under reported. >Continuing claims also jumped another 150K as companies continue to lay >off workers rather than hiring new ones. > >US Trade Deficit hit a new record in December at $44.2 billion on the back >of a weak dollar. Want to bet that January breaks that record? > >Next week: on tap are both existing and new home sales, both expected to >decline slightly. Also, Durable goods orders, expected to rise 1.%, watch >out if the figure is measurably short. Consumer confidence is expected to >have continued its decline, and the preliminary GDP for Q4 is expected to >be raised from 0.7% to 1.3%, another one to watch out for if it fails to >measure up. > >---------- >"M" >Uncertainty of war with Iraq (or when it will start, how long it will >take, how much damage in human and oil field terms) continue to hang over >the market. Economic concerns both globally and here in the US of A >continue to signal caution. Proposed tax cuts, with attendant record govt >deficits, worry global economic leaders. Meanwhile, most indexes closed >out a second week of gains, but after four declining weeks (most of far >greater proportions), look mighty anemic and more willing to seek new >lower levels than to bust thru overhead resistance. Both NASDAQ and NYSE >moved back into mild overbought territory, and at or above short term (20 >dma) levels. Time will tell if they can sustain this, or take the next leg >down to test the October lows. The trend remains down, keep your powder >dry and preserve your capital. > >---------- >WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES >This list is in no way intended to recommend any stocks to the group. It >is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health of CANSLIM's "M" >and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some stocks with >constructive chart patterns that may be worth WATCHING and learning from >(and of course doing your own due diligence). I am employed in Operations >by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is strictly my >own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views or opinions >of my employer. > >I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS ranking of 80 or better, and >try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition / buyout >scenario. I look at all charts that meet this general RS/EPS criteria, >focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I consider all >industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my personal >investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings forecast for this >year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. I do no due >diligence, that is your responsibility. I will note any CANSLIM patterns I >see, such as c&h, double (or triple) bottoms, or flat bases (shown as Bx >where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also note LLUR (Lower Left Upper >Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM pattern. Rarely are any of >these stocks of interest to me for my personal investing due size, price >or industry group. I will note any stocks in which I have a current >personal financial interest, whether real money or virtual reality (VR). > >The population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend is barely enough to >cover the shallow end of the pool. The sharks, in the deeper water, are >hungry and aggressive with any willing to venture out further. > >ANSI - c&h, long handle >APA - young LLUR?? >BWS - c&h, may be trying to break the pivot on volume >ESI - decent c&h forming >HLTH - high handle?, base forming? >IDXC - c&h, in my VR Fund >NSCN - LLUR, owned and in my VR Fund >PCZ - LLUR >PORT - LLUR >PVR - c&h >STHLY - high handle, low price >VAR - high handle? >YHOO (yeah, yahoo) - high handle > >Happy Hunting, > >Waving Flag15.gif >Tom Worley >stkguru@bellsouth.net >AIM: TexWorley > - --=====================_3382269==_.REL Content-Type: image/gif; name="Waving Flag15.gif"; x-mac-type="47494666"; x-mac-creator="4A565752" Content-ID: <.0> Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64 Content-Disposition: inline; filename="Waving Flag15.gif" R0lGODlhZAA3AMcAAAAAAAAAMwAAZgAAmQAAzAAA/zMAADMAMzMAZjMAmTMAzDMA/2YAAGYAM2YA ZmYAmWYAzGYA/5kAAJkAM5kAZpkAmZkAzJkA/8wAAMwAM8wAZswAmcwAzMwA//8AAP8AM/8AZv8A 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