From: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com (canslim-digest) To: canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Subject: canslim-digest V2 #3414 Reply-To: canslim Sender: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Errors-To: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Precedence: bulk Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable X-No-Archive: yes canslim-digest Saturday, July 12 2003 Volume 02 : Number 3414 In this issue: Re: [CANSLIM] Trading Journal (was Break outs or pullbacks) Re: [CANSLIM] pwav RE: [CANSLIM] ANN at 8% loss RE: [CANSLIM] ANN at 8% loss ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:13:38 -0400 From: "John P" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Trading Journal (was Break outs or pullbacks) This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_0090_01C347F1.4BC5A3C0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Gene, These are good links, Thanks, John P. ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Gene Ricci=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Friday, July 11, 2003 4:34 PM Subject: [CANSLIM] Trading Journal (was Break outs or pullbacks) A couple of recent posts have mentioned a journal. Can some of the = people who keep journals share what type of information they keep in the = journal. - John P. ----------- =20 John, here are a couple of links: = http://www.tradingmarkets.com/yahoo.site/stocks/education/traders/73595E5= 674454358425F755D545668161504 http://www.mtrader.com/journal.htm This is a look at what Dr. Alexander Elder (Trading for a Living and = Come Into My Trading Room) is selling: http://www.elder.com/Manual_TO/Manual.htm#_Toc26890931 regards, Gene - ------=_NextPart_000_0090_01C347F1.4BC5A3C0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

Gene,

These are good links,

Thanks,

John P.

----- Original Message -----
From:=20 Gene = Ricci
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=

Sent: Friday, July 11, 2003 = 4:34 PM

Subject: [CANSLIM] Trading = Journal (was=20 Break outs or pullbacks)

A = couple of=20 recent posts have mentioned a journal. Can some of the people who keep = journals share what type of information they keep in the journal. - = John=20 P.
-----------

John, here are a couple of = links:

http://www.tradingmarkets.com/yaho= o.site/stocks/education/traders/73595E5674454358425F755D545668161504<= /FONT>

http://www.mtrader.com/journa= l.htm

This is a look at what Dr. Alexander = Elder=20 (Trading for a Living and Come Into My Trading Room) is = selling:

http://ww= w.elder.com/Manual_TO/Manual.htm#_Toc26890931

regards,

Gene

- ------=_NextPart_000_0090_01C347F1.4BC5A3C0-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:53:20 -0600 From: "Rolf Hertenstein" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] pwav Could you expand on the 1-2-3 breakout in general? The term isn't ringing any bells - not sure I've heard it before. Thanks! Rolf - ----- Original Message ----- From: "Pritish Shah" Michael, This could be a setup for 1-2-3 breakout. Yesterday, the volume was 7million+, today, it looks like it is going to be 4.5m, if tomorrow, the volume goes down to 3 and then on Monday it goes to 2 or 1, it could be a setup for a 123 breakout momentum play as long as it does not fall below $6.96. IMO, Pritish >>> michael_niemotka@baxter.com 07/10/03 03:04PM >>> I notice that today, this stock has pulled back sharply (as the general market is taking it's lumps) on higher than ave volume, near the bo. price. Does this give a second chance to enter? Personally I would say no, since it has pulled back on high volume . Mike Niemotka , PE Sr. Principal Engineer Baxter Healthcare Corporation Route 120 & Wilson Road Round Lake, IL 60073 Tel (847) 270-4075 Fax (847) 270-4525 michael_niemotka@baxter.com - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 13:28:51 -0700 (PDT) From: Dave Stem Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] ANN at 8% loss - --0-1037448461-1058041731=:48362 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii On another note, if you look at ANN's long term chart, you can see that every time it gets between 30-35, it suffers from some serious nose bleed and promptly heads back below 20. It's all time high was 35.02 back in '98. I think the cup and handles can do whatever they want below 35, but before I got excited about this stock, I'd wait for it to break above that very serious resistance. If it ever clears 35, I think the patterns will mean something, but until then this stock looks fairly range-bound and the pull back doesn't seem very surprising. On another note, IBD's charts only going back a year, don't they? If I pull up ANN on Metastock and only look at a year's worth of data, it looks like a beautiful cup and handle break out to a new high. One year of data fails to show the overhead resistance between 30-33 in May 2002. And it certainly doesn't show the repeated failures at that level. Just MHO. Dave in Santa Monica Katherine Malm wrote:HI John, Sometimes the devil's in the details on stocks such as ANN. To put things into perspective, first look at the recent base itself: http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/ANN070303Wkly.JPG Pretty good base, but the sideways looking handle on the weekly chart looks a bit suspect. Here's an up close of the handle itself: http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/ANNHandle071003.JPG The slight wedging in the handle means that the final shakeout may not have occurred, meaning that this one may not be quite ready to rock and roll. I'm familiar with ANN, having been a favorite shopping haunt for many years. But this is also a company that has had its problems with store management, appealing designs for its target audience and general poor inventory mangement. I'm more likely to go in and see how much of the current season is on the sales rack than to buy these days. That's always a good indication as to how they're doing. That aside, here's a look a the fundamentals in greater detail, which gives a better view than my subjective "sale rack" musings: http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/ANNCE071003.JPG That aside, the question as to how to deal with a high volume pullback after the breakout is probably better addressed in looking at the technicals, particularly the handle. The action after the move above the pivot doesn't surprise me, in fact, I think the odds favor a continued shakeout here more than a continued move up. The only question is whether or not you're willing to sit it out and see if it can muster up a low volume decline followed by a stronger move up knowing the odds of it falling back into the base are probably 50/50. Katherine - -----Original Message----- From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of John Calkins Sent: Friday, July 11, 2003 12:55 AM To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Subject: [CANSLIM] ANN at 8% loss Hi CANSLIMers, I bought ANN on Tuesday - breakout day - and today it pulled back below its pivot on higher volume than its breakout day. In looking at at the intraday trading, there was a huge volume/price move early in the day then the stock was quiet the rest of the day. I watched closely during the day for a price swing at the end of the day so as not to jump the gun on selling. I saw the price creep up a little at the end of the day so I held. I have herd not to sell onfirst day intra-day movement but to watch the following day for continued movement. I almost pulled the plug anyway. Would it be wise to concider to sell Friday if the price does not rebound on volume during the day? This is the hardest part for me. I will of coarse sell if it drops to my mental 8% stop. I do not like the stock anymore because it did not move as I anticipated. I would have understood a drop on low volume, but this high volume drop gets my attention every time. This is the part that is so dissapointing. You spend weeks making a profit on one stock, then the next two drop like a rock. My selling at 7-8 % are engrained now. With the entry within a couple of percent of the pivot, at least I get a second day of watching before I pull the plug. The last stock I dropped was JOYG but that was clear to me on the volume and I got out even including my commistions. This down day on lower volume in the market has me holding off a bit. When I bought ANSS, a few days later the price moved down and "kissed the pivot" as Katherine says and it volume is predictible and still is. So I guess my question is would you sell ANN because of yesterdays price/volume action or give it a second chance? JC - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? SBC Yahoo! DSL - Now only $29.95 per month! - --0-1037448461-1058041731=:48362 Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii

On another note, if you look at ANN's long term chart, you can see that every time it gets between 30-35, it suffers from some serious nose bleed and promptly heads back below 20. It's all time high was 35.02 back in '98.

I think the cup and handles can do whatever they want below 35, but before I got excited about this stock, I'd wait for it to break above that very serious resistance. If it ever clears 35, I think the patterns will mean something, but until then this stock looks fairly range-bound and the pull back doesn't seem very surprising.

On another note, IBD's charts only going back a year, don't they? If I pull up ANN on Metastock and only look at a year's worth of data, it looks like a beautiful cup and handle break out to a new high. One year of data fails to show the overhead resistance between 30-33 in May 2002. And it certainly doesn't show the repeated failures at that level.

Just MHO.

Dave in Santa Monica

Katherine Malm <kmalm@earthlink.net> wrote:

HI John,

Sometimes the devil's in the details on stocks such as ANN. To put things
into perspective, first look at the recent base itself:

http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/ANN070303Wkly.JPG

Pretty good base, but the sideways looking handle on the weekly chart looks
a bit suspect.

Here's an up close of the handle itself:
http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/ANNHandle071003.JPG

The slight wedging in the handle means that the final shakeout may not have
occurred, meaning that this one may not be quite ready to rock and roll.

I'm familiar with ANN, having been a favorite shopping haunt for many years.
But this is also a company that has had its problems with store management,
appealing designs for its target audience and general poor inventory
mangement. I'm more likely to go in and see how much of the current season
is on the sales rack than to buy these days. That's always a good indication
as to how they're doing. That aside, here's a look a the fundamentals in
greater detail, which gives a better view than my subjective "sale rack"
musings:

http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/ANNCE071003.JPG

That aside, the question as to how to deal with a high volume pullback after
the breakout is probably better addressed in looking at the technicals,
particularly the handle. The action after the move above the pivot doesn't
surprise me, in fact, I think the odds favor a continued shakeout here more
than a continued move up. The only question is whether or not you're willing
to sit it out and see if it can muster up a low volume decline followed by a
stronger move up knowing the odds of it falling back into the base are
probably 50/50.

Katherine

-----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of John Calkins
Sent: Friday, July 11, 2003 12:55 AM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: [CANSLIM] ANN at 8% loss

Hi CANSLIMers,

I bought ANN on Tuesday - breakout day - and today it pulled back below its
pivot on higher volume than its breakout day. In looking at at the intraday
trading, there was a huge volume/price move early in the day then the stock
was quiet the rest of the day. I watched closely during the day for a price
swing at the end of the day so as not to jump the gun on selling. I saw the
price creep up a little at the end of the day so I held. I have herd not to
sell onfirst day intra-day movement but to watch the following day for
continued movement. I almost pulled the plug anyway. Would it be wise to
concider to sell Friday if the price does not rebound on volume during the
day? This is the hardest part for me. I will of coarse sell if it drops to
my mental 8% stop. I do not like the stock anymore because it did not move
as I anticipated. I would have understood a drop on low volume, but this
high volume drop gets my attention every time. This is the part that is so
dissapointing. You spend weeks making a profit on one stock, then the next
two drop like a rock. My selling at 7-8 % are engrained now. With the
entry within a couple of percent of the pivot, at least I get a second day
of watching before I pull the plug. The last stock I dropped was JOYG but
that was clear to me on the volume and I got out even including my
commistions. This down day on lower volume in the market has me holding off
a bit. When I bought ANSS, a few days later the price moved down and
"kissed the pivot" as Katherine says and it volume is predictible and still
is. So I guess my question is would you sell ANN because of yesterdays
price/volume action or give it a second chance?

JC

-
-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
-In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
-"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.

-
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Do you Yahoo!?
SBC Yahoo! DSL - Now only $29.95 per month! - --0-1037448461-1058041731=:48362-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 13:44:38 -0700 (PDT) From: Dave Stem Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] ANN at 8% loss - --0-477984066-1058042678=:51000 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="0-24246106-1058042678=:51000" - --0-24246106-1058042678=:51000 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Here's a chart of ANN long term. (What's the best way to attach charts from Metastock? I'm copying to Word here, but that seems awkward.) Dave Stem wrote: On another note, if you look at ANN's long term chart, you can see that every time it gets between 30-35, it suffers from some serious nose bleed and promptly heads back below 20. It's all time high was 35.02 back in '98. I think the cup and handles can do whatever they want below 35, but before I got excited about this stock, I'd wait for it to break above that very serious resistance. If it ever clears 35, I think the patterns will mean something, but until then this stock looks fairly range-bound and the pull back doesn't seem very surprising. On another note, IBD's charts only going back a year, don't they? If I pull up ANN on Metastock and only look at a year's worth of data, it looks like a beautiful cup and handle break out to a new high. One year of data fails to show the overhead resistance between 30-33 in May 2002. And it certainly doesn't show the repeated failures at that level. Just MHO. Dave in Santa Monica Katherine Malm wrote: HI John, Sometimes the devil's in the details on stocks such as ANN. To put things into perspective, first look at the recent base itself: http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/ANN070303Wkly.JPG Pretty good base, but the sideways looking handle on the weekly chart looks a bit suspect. Here's an up close of the handle itself: http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/ANNHandle071003.JPG The slight wedging in the handle means that the final shakeout may not have occurred, meaning that this one may not be quite ready to rock and roll. I'm familiar with ANN, having been a favorite shopping haunt for many years. But this is also a company that has had its problems with store management, appealing designs for its target audience and general poor inventory mangement. I'm more likely to go in and see how much of the current season is on the sales rack than to buy these days. That's always a good indication as to how they're doing. That aside, here's a look a the fundamentals in greater detail, which gives a better view than my subjective "sale rack" musings: http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/ANNCE071003.JPG That aside, the question as to how to deal with a high volume pullback after the breakout is probably better addressed in looking at the technicals, particularly the handle. The action after the move above the pivot doesn't surprise me, in fact, I think the odds favor a continued shakeout here more than a continued move up. The only question is whether or not you're willing to sit it out and see if it can muster up a low volume decline followed by a stronger move up knowing the odds of it falling back into the base are probably 50/50. Katherine - -----Original Message----- From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of John Calkins Sent: Friday, July 11, 2003 12:55 AM To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Subject: [CANSLIM] ANN at 8% loss Hi CANSLIMers, I bought ANN on Tuesday - breakout day - and today it pulled back below its pivot on higher volume than its breakout day. In looking at at the intraday trading, there was a huge volume/price move early in the day then the stock was quiet the rest of the day. I watched closely during the day for a price swing at the end of the day so as not to jump the gun on selling. I saw the price creep up a little at the end of the day so I held. I have herd not to sell onfirst day intra-day movement but to watch the following day for continued movement. I almost pulled the plug anyway. Would it be wise to concider to sell Friday if the price does not rebound on volume during the day? This is the hardest part for me. I will of coarse sell if it drops to my mental 8% stop. I do not like the stock anymore because it did not move as I anticipated. I would have understood a drop on low volume, but this high volume drop gets my attention every time. This is the part that is so dissapointing. You spend weeks making a profit on one stock, then the next two drop like a rock. My selling at 7-8 % are engrained now. With the entry within a couple of percent of the pivot, at least I get a second day of watching before I pull the plug. The last stock I dropped was JOYG but that was clear to me on the volume and I got out even including my commistions. This down day on lower volume in the market has me holding off a bit. When I bought ANSS, a few days later the price moved down and "kissed the pivot" as Katherine says and it volume is predictible and still is. So I guess my question is would you sell ANN because of yesterdays price/volume action or give it a second chance? JC - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? SBC Yahoo! DSL - Now only $29.95 per month! - --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? SBC Yahoo! DSL - Now only $29.95 per month! - --0-24246106-1058042678=:51000 Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii

Here's a chart of ANN long term. (What's the best way to attach charts from Metastock? I'm copying to Word here, but that seems awkward.)

Dave Stem <canslimdave2003@yahoo.com> wrote:

On another note, if you look at ANN's long term chart, you can see that every time it gets between 30-35, it suffers from some serious nose bleed and promptly heads back below 20. It's all time high was 35.02 back in '98.

I think the cup and handles can do whatever they want below 35, but before I got excited about this stock, I'd wait for it to break above that very serious resistance. If it ever clears 35, I think the patterns will mean something, but until then this stock looks fairly range-bound and the pull back doesn't seem very surprising.

On another note, IBD's charts only going back a year, don't they? If I pull up ANN on Metastock and only look at a year's worth of data, it looks like a beautiful cup and handle break out to a new high. One year of data fails to show the overhead resistance between 30-33 in May 2002. And it certainly doesn't show the repeated failures at that level.

Just MHO.

Dave in Santa Monica

Katherine Malm <kmalm@earthlink.net> wrote:
HI John,

Sometimes the devil's in the details on stocks such as ANN. To put things
into perspective, first look at the recent base itself:

http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/ANN070303Wkly.JPG

Pretty good base, but the sideways looking handle on the weekly chart looks
a bit suspect.

Here's an up close of the handle itself:
http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/ANNHandle071003.JPG

The slight wedging in the handle means that the final shakeout may not have
occurred, meaning that this one may not be quite ready to rock and roll.

I'm familiar with ANN, having been a favorite shopping haunt for many years.
But this is also a company that has had its problems with store management,
appealing designs for its target audience and general poor inventory
mangement. I'm more likely to go in and see how much of the current season
is on the sales rack than to buy these days. That's always a good indication
as to how they're doing. That aside, here's a look a the fundamentals in
greater detail, which gives a better view than my subjective "sale rack"
musings:

http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/ANNCE071003.JPG

That aside, the question as to how to deal with a high volume pullback after
the breakout is probably better addressed in looking at the technicals,
particularly the handle. The action after the move above the pivot doesn't
surprise me, in fact, I think the odds favor a continued shakeout here more
than a continued move up. The only question is whether or not you're willing
to sit it out and see if it can muster up a low volume decline followed by a
stronger move up knowing the odds of it falling back into the base are
probably 50/50.

Katherine

-----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of John Calkins
Sent: Friday, July 11, 2003 12:55 AM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: [CANSLIM] ANN at 8% loss

Hi CANSLIMers,

I bought ANN on Tuesday - breakout day - and today it pulled back below its
pivot on higher volume than its breakout day. In looking at at the intraday
trading, there was a huge volume/price move early in the day then the stock
was quiet the rest of the day. I watched closely during the day for a price
swing at the end of the day so as not to jump the gun on selling. I saw the
price creep up a little at the end of the day so I held. I have herd not to
sell onfirst day intra-day movement but to watch the following day for
continued movement. I almost pulled the plug anyway. Would it be wise to
concider to sell Friday if the price does not rebound on volume during the
day? This is the hardest part for me. I will of coarse sell if it drops to
my mental 8% stop. I do not like the stock anymore because it did not move
as I anticipated. I would have understood a drop on low volume, but this
high volume drop gets my attention every time. This is the part that is so
dissapointing. You spend weeks making a profit on one stock, then the next
two drop like a rock. My selling at 7-8 % are engrained now. With the
entry within a couple of percent of the pivot, at least I get a second day
of watching before I pull the plug. The last stock I dropped was JOYG but
that was clear to me on the volume and I got out even including my
commistions. This down day on lower volume in the market has me holding off
a bit. When I bought ANSS, a few days later the price moved down and
"kissed the pivot" as Katherine says and it volume is predictible and still
is. So I guess my question is would you sell ANN because of yesterdays
price/volume action or give it a second chance?

JC

-
-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
-In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
-"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.

-
-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
-In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
-"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.

Do you Yahoo!?
SBC Yahoo! DSL - Now only $29.95 per month!

Do you Yahoo!?
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DSL - Now only $29.95 per month! - --0-24246106-1058042678=:51000-- - --0-477984066-1058042678=:51000 Content-Type: application/msword; name="ANN's Monthly chart.doc" Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64 Content-Description: ANN's Monthly chart.doc Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="ANN's Monthly chart.doc" 0M8R4KGxGuEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAPgADAP7/CQAGAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAB AAAAEQAAAAAAAAAAEAAAEwAAAAEAAAD+////AAAAABAAAAD///////////// //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// 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